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Vladimir Putin does not intend to stop in Donbass, according to American intelligence | War in Ukraine

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We believe that President Putin is preparing for a protracted conflict in Ukraine, during which he still intends to achieve goals beyond Donbasssaid Ms. Haines during a hearing in Congress, at a time when elected officials are preparing to release a huge budget extension of 40 billion dollars for Ukraine.

Having given up on capturing kyiv, the Russian army deployed in the south and east of the country, officially to release the separatist regions of Donetsk and Lugansk, in the Donbass, which could allow Moscow to fully control the Sea of ​​Azov and ensure territorial continuity with Crimea, which Moscow annexed in 2014.

But this repositioning around the Donbass is only temporaryand the Russian army wants to continue its advance to create a land bridge in southern Ukraine, to the major port of Odessa and the Moldovan border, explained Ms Haines.

American intelligence services believe that the Russian army wants to expand this land bridge to Transnistria, she added, referring to the region of Moldova which seceded in 1990, during the collapse of the Soviet Union, and where the Russian army has a military base .

But if he is possible that the Russian forces achieve this objective in the coming months, they will not be able to reach Transnistria and include Odessa without decreeing a form of general mobilizationshe pointed out.

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The Russian President probably counts on a weakening of the resolve of the United States and the European Union when food shortages and rising energy prices worsenshe warned.

Avril Haines speaks into a microphone, waving her hand.

Director of US National Intelligence Avril Haines presented her projections on the conflict in Ukraine during testimony before the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Photo: Reuters/KEVIN LAMARQUE

Ms Haines noted that Mr Putin’s ambitions exceeded the capabilities of the Russian military, which probably means that we will evolve in the coming months on a more unpredictable trajectory and potentially an escalation.

The current trend increases the risks that President Putin will turn to more drastic measures, including the establishment of martial law, the redirection of industrial production or a potential military escalation in order to free up the resources necessary to achieve his objectives. »

A quote from Avril Haines, Director of National Intelligence of the United States

The head of the military intelligence agency, General Scott Berrier, described the state of the fighting between Russian and Ukrainian forces as that of a bogged down.

But that could change if Moscow formally declares war and mobilizes more forces, he noted. If Russia does not declare war and mobilize, the stalemate will last and I see no way out for either side.he said.

If they mobilize and declare war, thousands more soldiers will join the fighting and, while they may not be as well trained or as skilled [que les forces actuelles]it will have a mass effecthe warned.

Our file War in Ukraine

Avril Haines, who for her part oversees all of the American intelligence agencies, including the CIA and the NSA, reaffirmed that Washington does not believe that Vladimir Putin is ready to use nuclear weapons.

We continue to believe that President Putin will only order the use of nuclear weapons if he perceives an existential threat to the Russian state or regime.she noted.

It is possible that the Russian president will nevertheless resort to it if he thinks he is losing the war in Ukraine and NATO is either intervening or preparing to intervene, she clarified. But, even on this assumption, it is likely that he would send signals before doing so.

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